Low Carbon Futures: Decision support for building adaptation in a low carbon climate change future

December 2008 to June 2012

Prof Phil Banfill, Prof Gavin Gibson, Dr Gill Menzies, Heriot-Watt University

Aim: To produce a general, deterministic and computationally efficient methodology for adequately sizing HVAC (heating, ventilating, and air-conditioning) plant and equipment in buildings.

Objectives:

  • Investigate and represent the outcomes of the UKCP09 climate scenarios in a manner appropriate to the building design community.
  • Explore how this data can be used to inform communication between design stakeholders.
  • Incorporate the findings in the development of the existing standard guidelines and building regulations.

June 2011 Meeting with the Scottish Government:

April 2011 Conference output:

Journals

  • Patidar S., Jenkins D.P., Gibson G., and Banfill P.F.G. 2011. Statistical techniques to emulate dynamic building simulations for overheating analyses in future probabilistic climates. Journal of Building Performance Simulation, 1940–1493, Doi: 10.1080/19401493.2010.531144
  • Jenkins D.P., Patidar S., Banfill P.F.G., and Gibson G. 2011. Probabilistic climate projections with dynamic building simulation: predicting overheating in dwellings. Energy and Buildings, 43: 1723–1731.

Conferences

  • Patidar S. and Jenkins D.P., Decision support for building adaptation in a low carbon climate change future, NCEUB Autumn Conference – Adapting to Future Climates, Edinburgh, 8th September 2009.
  • Jenkins D.P., Patidar S., Gibson G. and Banfill P. Translating probabilistic climate predictions for use in building simulation, Proceedings of Conference: Adapting to Change: New Thinking on Comfort Cumberland Lodge, Windsor, UK, 9–11 April 2010. London: Network for Comfort and Energy Use in Buildings
  • Gul M, Menzies G and Banfill P.F.G, Incorporating climate change projections into building design: A Qualitative Study, World Renewable Energy Congress 2011 8–11th May, Linkoping, Sweden.
  • Jenkins D.P., Patidar S., Banfill P.F.G., and Gibson G., Developing a probabilistic tool for assessing the risk of overheating in buildings for future climates, World Renewable Energy Congress 2011, 8–11th May, Linkoping, Sweden
  • Patidar S., Jenkins D.P., Banfill P.F.G., and Gibson G., Simple Statistical Model for Complex Probabilistic Climate Projections: Overheating Risk and Extreme Events, World Renewable Energy Congress 2011, 8–11th May, Linkoping, Sweden

Other

  • Jenkins D.P., Low Carbon Futures – Use of UKCP09 in building simulation, RERAD Workshop, 29th March 2011, Edinburgh.
  • Eager D, Bialek J, Johnson T, Patidar S, Jenkins D., Gibson G, Banfill P., Mathematical Sciences Applied in Energy and Climate Change, Edinburgh Research Partnership in Engineering and Mathematics, 15th February 2011, Dynamic Earth, Edinburgh.